“Clearly the 4Q miss as reported on the morning of June 7th (diluted lower cost benefits; increased margin pressures in pet) and FY19 commentary (reinvestment, minimal underlying EPS growth) were both disappointing. We have lowered our FY19 EPS estimate by $1.27 to $8.65, and to $9.15. Our estimates do not reflect the potential divestiture of the US baking unit (potential dilution of ~25c). But we continue to think the stock’s valuation (12x our CY19 EPS estimate including amortization; FY19 FCF yield of 7.2%) represents attractive value given the mix of brands and categories, even in the context of the depressed CPG space. But catalysts may now be more spread out: share gains in coffee (driven by K-cups, and the new brand 1850 across all platforms), improving sales performance for the pet unit (innovation in treats, expansion of the APN platform), and a more focused consumer foods unit.”
According to TipRanks.com, Zuanic is a 4-star analyst with an average return of 4.6% and a 53.8% success rate. Zuanic covers the Consumer Goods sector, focusing on stocks such as Coca-Cola European Partners, Constellation Brands Inc, and Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa.
Currently, the analyst consensus on JM Smucker is Moderate Buy and the average price target is $112.63, representing a 6.0% upside.
In a report issued on June 7, Jefferies also maintained a Buy rating on the stock with a $135 price target.
JM Smucker’s market cap is currently $12.03B and has a P/E ratio of 8.98. The company has a Price to Book ratio of 1.54.
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The J. M. Smucker Co. engages in the production and market of fruit spreads, peanut butter and other food products. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Retail Coffee; U.S. Retail Consumer Foods; U.S. Retail Pet Foods; International and Foodservice. The U. S. Retail Coffee segment includes the domestic sales of Folgers, Dunkin Donuts, and Café Bustelo branded coffee. The U.S. Retail Consumer Foods segment sells Jif, Smucker’s, Crisco, and Pillsbury branded products. The U.S. Retail Pet Foods comprises of Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Natural Balance, Kibbles’n Bits, 9Lives, Pup-Peroni, and Nature’s Recipe branded products. The International and Foodservice segment covers the products distributed domestically and in foreign countries. The company was founded by Jerome Monroe Smucker in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, OH.